Sector Rotation Model (SRM)

SRM Overview: Beat the Market Using Sectors

The stock market is divided into 11 sectors, each representing a key area of the economy. At different times, certain sectors outperform others, making them the best places to invest. Instead of holding broad-market funds, you can use a sector investing strategy to achieve faster growth.

The Sector Rotation Model (SRM) is designed to help you do just that. It uses dynamic sector rotation to reallocate your portfolio to the best-performing sectors each month, keeping your investments focused on high-growth areas of the market.

Due to its higher turnover, the SRM works best in tax-advantaged accounts like IRAs and Roth IRAs, where frequent adjustments won’t trigger short-term capital gains taxes. If you’re looking for a proven way to outperform the market, the SRM offers a strategic edge over traditional buy-and-hold investing.

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Proven Performance: SRM Outperforms S&P 500

The Sector Rotation Model is our highest-performing investment model, delivering exceptional long-term performance and significantly outpacing the S&P 500 over the past 24 years. This success is driven by its ability to identify and allocate to the strongest-performing sectors each month. The chart below shows how the SRM has performed compared to SPY (an S&P 500 index fund).

Sector Rotation Model Historical Performance Chart

Model performance represents total returns and includes reinvestment of dividends and interest. No management fees or transaction costs are included. Historical performance is not an indication or guarantee of future performance.

Key Performance Highlights

  • Stronger Returns: The SRM has consistently outperformed the broader market, delivering higher compound annual returns.
  • Lower Risk Exposure: The model reduces drawdowns by shifting away from weak sectors, helping to protect capital during periods of market instability.
  • Proven Downside Protection: During bear markets like the dot-com crash and 2008 financial crisis, the SRM moved to cash, avoiding the steep declines that devastated traditional portfolios.
  • Powerful Combination with the ARM: Pairing the SRM with the Asset Rotation Model (ARM) further enhances returns by shifting into bonds when stocks are underperforming.

SRM Performance Metrics

The data below highlight why the SRM is a superior strategy for investors seeking market-beating growth without taking on additional risk.

Sector Rotation Model (SRM) Performance Metrics
Strategy Compound Annual Return Alpha1 Beta1 Standard Deviation Maximum Drawdown Sharpe Ratio Sortino Ratio Treynor Ratio
SRM 10.29% 7.00% 0.28 12.5% -18.6% 0.72 2.59 0.32
SRM + ARM 11.65% 8.65% 0.23 11.7% -18.6% 0.89 5.42 0.45
SPY (S&P 500) 7.61% 0.00% 1.00 18.2% -50.8% 0.41 0.46 0.07
Data for 25-Year Period (2000 – 2024)
1 Benchmarked against the S&P 500

View Full Explanation of the SRM Performance Metrics

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How the SRM Works to Maximize Growth

The SRM provides clear, monthly recommendations, helping you strategically allocate your investments using one of the most effective sector rotation strategies available. Here’s how it works:

  1. Monthly Sector Selection: Each month, the model conducts sector rotation analysis, evaluating all 11 sectors of the S&P 500 to identify the top performers. Your portfolio is then reallocated to maximize exposure to the sectors with the highest growth potential.
  2. Risk Mitigation and Market Adaptation: During market downturns, the SRM moves away from weak sectors and may shift to cash for protection. When this happens, investors can also follow the ARM to allocate funds into bonds, adding an extra layer of defense.
  3. Simple, Actionable Updates: No complex trading decisions – just straightforward monthly recommendations you can easily follow. The SRM eliminates the guesswork and keeps your portfolio optimized without the need for active trading.

Whether you’re looking to maximize equity returns or protect against downturns, the SRM keeps your portfolio aligned with current market conditions for superior performance.

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The SRM Advantage

Unlike traditional buy-and-hold investing, the SRM continuously reallocates capital to the strongest-performing sectors of the market. This precision targeting allows for higher growth potential, while avoiding the drag of underperforming sectors. When market conditions worsen, the SRM shifts to cash for protection, minimizing risk and enhancing portfolio stability.

This model isn’t just about keeping pace with the market – it’s designed to outperform it. Whether you’re looking to maximize growth, reduce risk, or maintain a disciplined investment strategy, the SRM provides a proven, data-driven approach to help you take control of your financial future.

Success Stories: Real User Results

Discover how other investors are using the Sector Rotation Model to transform their portfolios:

“The SRM has completely changed how I invest. Instead of passively holding broad-market funds, I now target the best-performing sectors each month. It’s made a world of difference!”

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Dan Bennett

Tax Consultant

“I was struggling to outperform the market until I started using the SRM. Its sector-based approach has delivered results far beyond my expectations, and it’s been surprisingly simple to follow.”

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Jenna Solia

Supply Chain Sr. Analyst

“I’ve combined the SRM with the ARM to take full advantage of both strategies. During volatile markets, the ARM provides a safety net, while the SRM helps me capture strong sector performance when markets are bullish.”

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Emma Rodriguez

Event Planner

“I always heard that sector investing was a great strategy, but I never knew how to do it properly. The SRM changed that. It takes the guesswork out of investing and makes sure I stay away from dangerous pockets of the market.”

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Robert Mitchell

Senior Accountant

“I used to waste hours reading financial news and still felt lost. The SRM does the hard work for me, and now my portfolio is thriving with minimal effort. I’ve been using it with the ARM.”

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Kim Young

PR Specialist

“I used to chase trends without success. The SRM’s data-driven approach has aligned my investments with top-performing sectors consistently. I find this much more manageable than constantly picking stocks.”

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Ben Clark

Graphic Designer

“Before the SRM, I was stuck in a buy-and-hold mentality, missing out on big opportunities. This model showed me how to be proactive without constantly trading.”

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Arjun Patel

IT Consultant

Is the Sector Rotation Model Right for You?

The Sector Rotation Model (SRM) is designed for investors who want more than just average market returns. By consistently reallocating to the strongest-performing sectors of the S&P 500, the SRM serves as an effective ETF sector rotation strategy, offering an active, results-driven approach that seeks to outperform traditional buy-and-hold strategies.

While the SRM carries a higher-risk profile, its long-term performance speaks for itself. For investors seeking growth, flexibility, and an edge over static market strategies, the SRM offers a proven path to superior returns. Don’t settle for average returns – take control of your portfolio with the SRM today.

Start Using the SRM Today – Completely Free

  1. Start Your Free Trial: Head over to our pricing page to activate your free trial with no upfront charges and no commitment. You’ll get immediate access to this month’s sector pick.
  2. Stay Informed with Monthly Updates: Each month, you’ll receive updated sector recommendations to keep your account safe and growing. Implement them in your account by following our SRM Tutorial.
  3. Track Your Progress: Use your investment account’s online portal to monitor your performance over time. Compare your results to key benchmarks and experience the power of sector-focused investing.

Step up your sector rotation strategy today – sign up now and start your free trial!

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Sector Rotation Model FAQs

  • What is the Sector Rotation Model?

    The Sector Rotation Model (SRM) is a high-performing ETF Sector Rotation Model designed to identify and invest in the strongest-performing sectors of the stock market. By dynamically reallocating investments each month, the SRM ensures your portfolio remains focused on sectors with the highest growth potential.

  • How does the Sector Rotation Model work?

    During periods when stocks are rising, different sectors of the market take turns leading the way higher. The Sector Rotation Model (SRM) analyzes each sector independently to identify and invest in the strongest performing sectors of the market. Learn More

  • Who should use the Sector Rotation Model?

    The Sector Rotation Model (SRM) is ideal for investors seeking higher returns by actively allocating to the strongest market sectors. Suitable for all investors, it can be a valuable addition to any portfolio. The SRM is designed for those willing to take on slightly more risk in exchange for the potential for greater long-term growth.

  • What role should the SRM play in my overall portfolio?

    When compared to the Asset Rotation Model, the SRM achieves higher returns at the expense of additional volatility. As a result, we recommend using the ARM (or our 401 Model or TSP Model) for the majority your portfolio, and using the SRM for the balance. This ensures adequate diversification while still enhancing your portfolio’s growth potential.

  • Where can I see the SRM’s historical performance?

    You can view the SRM’s historical backtested performance on the SRM Overview page. Be sure to review the risk metrics table, where you’ll see that the SRM’s sector investing strategy has consistently outperformed the S&P 500 while exposing the portfolio to significantly less risk. This highlights the model’s ability to deliver superior returns without unnecessary volatility.

  • How does the SRM achieve such high performance?

    The SRM’s sector allocation strategy leverages proprietary technology to continuously identify and invest in the top-performing sectors as they cycle through periods of strength. By dynamically reallocating capital to the strongest sectors, the SRM captures market upside more effectively than traditional strategies. When broader market conditions deteriorate, the SRM can shift to cash, helping to protect your portfolio from major downturns.

  • Where can I see the latest SRM recommendations?

    You can view the latest SRM recommendations on the current recommendations page. A premium subscription is required for access.

  • How do I use the SRM?

    Using the SRM is simple. Each month, you’ll receive an alert when the latest SRM recommendations are posted. Just log in to your brokerage account and update your investments accordingly. For a step-by-step guide on implementing the model, visit the SRM Tutorial.

  • I’m already retired, can I still use the SRM?

    Absolutely. With longer life expectancies, it’s essential that your investments continue to grow throughout retirement. The Sector Rotation Model (SRM) has historically outperformed both stocks and bonds while also avoiding major losses during market downturns. This makes it a strong option for retirees looking to preserve and grow their wealth. For more information on how to de-risk your portfolio during retirement, please see this article.

  • Will I incur transaction costs while using the SRM?

    In most cases, no. The Sector Rotation Model (SRM) is designed to use low-cost ETFs with minimal trading, and most brokerage firms no longer charge commissions on ETF trades. This means you can follow the SRM’s recommendations without worrying about extra costs, allowing you to keep more of your returns and maximize long-term growth.

  • What happens to the SRM if the stock market crashes?

    The Sector Rotation Model (SRM) is designed to detect early signs of market weakness and typically moves to cash before major downturns unfold. This proactive approach helps protect your portfolio from significant losses. When the SRM shifts to cash, we recommend following the Asset Rotation Model (ARM) with those funds until the SRM signals a reentry into the stock market.

  • Do the Sector Rotation Model and Asset Rotation Model work together?

    Yes, to a degree. The Asset Rotation Model (ARM) and Sector Rotation Model (SRM) complement each other by aligning their stock market exposure. When the ARM signals an investment in stocks, you can use the SRM to identify and allocate to the top-performing sectors for maximum growth. Conversely, when the SRM moves to cash, the ARM can help determine whether bonds provide a more stable alternative for that capital, ensuring your portfolio remains optimized in any market environment.

  • What does “SRM + ARM” refer to?

    This refers to a combined strategy that leverages both the Sector Rotation Model (SRM) and the Asset Rotation Model (ARM) to optimize returns while managing risk. Specifically, it means following the SRM when it is invested in the stock market to capture sector-based growth and switching to the ARM when the SRM moves to cash.

  • Which sectors perform best during bull and bear markets?

    Many factors can influence this, but in bull markets, sectors like Technology, Consumer Discretionary, and Financials often lead as economic growth boosts spending and corporate profits. In bear markets, defensive sectors such as Utilities, Consumer Staples, and Health Care tend to be more resilient due to steady demand. Since no sector consistently outperforms, the SRM continuously analyzes market trends and reallocates to the strongest-performing sectors each month.

The information provided here is for informational purposes only. Model returns do not reflect any management fees, transaction costs or expenses. Investing involves a great deal of risk, including the loss of all or a portion of your investment. Nothing contained herein should be construed as a warranty of investment results. Past performance is not an indication of future results. All risks, losses and costs associated with investing, including total loss of principal, are your responsibility. Model Investing maintains positions in the funds discussed within this site according to model recommendations.

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