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How to Predict Future Stock Market Returns

How to Predict Future Stock Market Returns

Every year, top Wall Street analysts put their thinking caps on and try to forecast the upcoming year's market return. The result of their analysis usually comes in the form of "price targets" which indicate where major indexes such as the S&P 500 are likely to be at year end. While price targets have little value themselves, what is valuable to investors is having a framework in which to view future returns.


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Posted in: Federal Reserve Investment Insights Psychology Stocks

Diversification: Friend or Foe?

Diversification

The age-old idea of not having all your eggs in one basket is considered timeless wisdom, but could it be working against you? In truth, diversification is a double edged sword. The benefit that it provides comes at a mighty cost. When it comes to investing, most individuals aren't aware of the hidden price they pay for this so-called "free lunch."


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Posted in: Asset Allocation Bonds Investment Insights Risk Stocks

The Cycle of Investor Emotions

The Cycle of Investor Emotions

Evidence from numerous studies on behavioral finance suggests that the need for emotional comfort costs the average investor around 2-3% per year in foregone investment return. This shortfall, commonly referred to as the "behavior gap," stems from the fact that optimal long-term financial decisions are often very uncomfortable to live with in the short-term.


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Posted in: Behavioral Finance Investment Insights Psychology Stocks

The Drawbacks of Strategic Asset Allocation

Strategic Asset Allocation

If you've ever worked with a financial planner or investment advisor, there's a good chance you're using an investment strategy known as strategic asset allocation. While you may not know it by that name, you're probably familiar with how it works. What you may not be of aware of, however, are how recent changes in financial markets have made this approach to investing more dangerous than ever before.


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Posted in: Asset Allocation Bonds Investment Insights Risk Stocks

Model Investing vs. Future Advisor

Future Advisor

Over the last few years a number of automated investment services, known as robo-advisors, have opened their doors. These services are designed to provide ordinary investors with sophisticated portfolio management at a fraction of the cost of a traditional financial advisor. Their growing popularity has caused a stir in the investment community, but just how good are these robo-advisors?


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Posted in: Model Investing Performance Risk Robo-Advisors

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